Slowdown Hit Indian Retail Sector can Witness Growth in 2011: Fitch

After going through a downturn, the Indian retail sector is likely to show positive results this year with several firms witnessing buoyant sales, improved capital management and stable margins, according to ratings agency Fitch. “Retailers in the country are likely to benefit from buoyant sales, improved working capital management and stable margins,” Fitch India said in its report ‘2011 Outlook: Indian Retail’. The retail sector had suffered massively during the 2008-09 downturn with many firms closing stores and holding back on expansion.

The report said the total debt is expected to increase in most cases to fund growing capex requirements as companies focus on cementing their market share and retail footprint. “However, debt levels are likely to be supported by higher operating profits and consequently leverage levels should remain stable and are likely to improve,” it said.
The agency also said it expects liquidity to remain comfortable, led by efficient working capital management.

“Improvements are expected from better inventory management and lower lease deposit levels,” it added. Besides, retail firms are likely to witness stable operating margins this year, depending on each company’s choice on product category. “This, in addition to economies of scale, private label sales mix and discounts from suppliers will help strengthen margins,” the agency said. The report also said small retailers and new entrants are likely to go more aggressive this year, while large players are also likely to face lesser risk in executing their expansion plans.

“Given the size and scale achieved by larger retailers such as PRIL and Shopper’s, their capex execution risk has reduced considerably in line with their reduced pace of expansion,” the report said.